New from Pajek: Our SVG with controls slide option (Eurasian cities)
China Historical GIS
The goals are to stimulate significant theoretical and methodological breakthroughs in historical
macrosystems research by focusing on new methods of network analysis and
nonlinear systems and dynamical modeling focused on
questions such as the interactive processes entailed in the growth and decline of cities and polities.
We are doing this by
bringing together world-systems and network analysts with historians, archaeologists and other social scientists
concerned with the evolution of macrostructural networks is to explore the synergies than can result from the exchange
and integration of datasets, the sharing of modeling and analytical tools across disciplines, and exchanges as to intellectual
frameworks and problems.
--(draft paragraph for letter to be sent April 14th)
The workshop will evolve a framework that allows us to sharpen a series of focal issues and projects:
, David Wilkinson , Don Saari , Douglas R White , Gabriel Lawson , George Gumerman SFI , Henry Wright , John Miller SFI , Peter Spufford , Peter Turchin , Robert McC Adams , William R Thompson
Background reading items are bulleted
Peter Turchin Nonlinear time-series analysis: illustrated with data for England, 1100-1900
Comments about Network Processes in Evolving Systems Doug White
Henry Wright The Earliest Bronze Age in Southwest Asia (3100-2700 BC)
Robert McC. Adams, "Reflections on the Early Southern Mesopotamian Economy," 2004, in Archaeological Perspectives on Political Economies, edited by Gary M. Feinman and Linda M. Nicholas.
Robert McC. Adams, " Intensified Large-Scale Irrigation as an Aspect of Imperial Policy:- Strategies of Statecraft on the Late Sasanian Mesopotamian Plain. Cotsen Advanced Seminar, UCLA, November 9, 2002 (Draft for publication, 12/9/2003)
ArchAtlas - Maps and Images compiled by ANDREW SHERRATT
Trade Routes compiled by ANDREW SHERRATT
ArchAtlas Site Map
Peter Spufford "Changing Patterns of Trade in Late Medieval Europe"
David Wilkinson Analytical and Empirical Issues in
the Study of Power-Polarity Configuration Sequences
Civilizations as Networks: Trade, War, Diplomacy and Command-Control, David Wilkinson
Wilkinson - paper for Time-mapping Globalization in the World-System
William R. Thompson Complexity, Diminishing Marginal Returns, and Serial Mesopotamian Fragmentation
Comment on Thompson's paper - political dynamics Doug White
Abstract. Following up on an earlier paper demonstrating statistically significant relationships between measures of recurring political-economic crises (hinterland incursions, trade collapses, economic contractions, and regime transitions) and a measure of climate deterioration (the interaction of falling Tigris-Euphrates river levels and years of warming/drying), the inter-relationships among these variables are examined more closely for the 3400-1000 BCE period. Theoretically focused on a test of Tainter’s diminishing marginal return theory of societal collapse, additional indicators are introduced encompassing population (urban population size, urban population growth rate) as a proxy for diminishing marginal returns, two measures of centralization/ fragmentation (including imperial size), and the indicators used for the climate interaction term in the earlier paper. The bivariate logit outcome for interactions among and between the 11 variables reinforces the earlier findings linking climate deterioriation to political-economic crises, extends the climate deterioration linkage to fragmentation and population decline, and finds relatively strong support for the Tainter derived expectation that diminishing marginal returns and fragmentation are closely linked but that both are less closely linked to recurring political-economic crises than might otherwise have been anticipated.
Population Dynamics and Warfare: preprint Turchin and Korotayev
Population Dynamics and Warfare: Addendum
Population Dynamics and Warfare: Supplementary
Claudio Cioffi-Revilla. 2001. ASOR paper (2000 ISA) on the West Asian "macrosocial system" tables
C. Nussli, 2002. Periodical Historical Atlas of Europe. Yverdon, Switzerland.
Centennia Dynamic Maps (freeware Win 95/97/NT 16 bit)
Background: Urbanization and Empire Formation
Estimating The Population Sizes of Cities
Part i Daniel Pasciuti and Christopher Chase-Dunn
Centennia Dynamic Maps (freeware Win 95/97/NT 16 bit)
A measurement error model for Estimating the Population Sizes of Preindustrial Cities Part ii Institute for Research on World-Systems University of California, Riverside 11-25-02 Daniel Pasciuti
Chase-Dunn, C. K., A. Alvarez, D. Pasciuti and T. D. Hall. 2002 (Updated 2004)
Power and Size: Urbanization and Empire Formation in World-Systems
links to 4 papers that contain results on east/west synchrony. 01 02 03 04 in city and empire growth and decline
Urban Archaeology Program Roland Fletcher
TimeMap for Archaeology
Settlement Systems: Past and PresentChristopher Chase-Dunn and Andrew Jorgenson
Arrighi, Giovanni and Beverly J. Silver. 2001. 'Capitalism and World (Dis)order.' Review of International Studies 27:257-279.
Spatial and Other "Fixes" of Historical Capitalism- Giovani Arrighi - paper for Time-mapping Globalization in the World-System
Structure and Dynamics of the Global Economy: Network Analysis of International Trade 1965-1980 David A. Smith, Douglas R. White Social Forces, Vol. 70, No. 4. (Jun., 1992), pp. 857-893.jstor - pw/GlobalEcon1992.pdf
Network of World Economy: Social scientists use the CRAY
Interview: Douglas R. White, David A. Smith. Science at the San Diego Supercomputer Center 1987: 27-28
New Software and Results for regular equivalence (positional) analysis of input-output economic data and world trade
2003 James Moody and Douglas R. White, Social Cohesion and Embeddedness: A Hierarchical Concept of Social Groups. American Sociological Review 68(1):1-25. Implemented in NetMiner v2.4.0 (fall 2003)
2003 Douglas R. White, Walter W. Powell, Jason Owen-Smith and James Moody Networks, Fields and Organizations: Scale, Topology and Cohesive Embeddings. In preparation for Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, for a special issue on Mathematical Representations for the Analysis of Social Networks within and between Organizations, guest edited by Alessandro Lomi and Phillipa Pattison.
2003 Walter W. Powell, Douglas R. White, Kenneth W. Koput Jason Owen-Smith. Network Dynamics and Field Evolution: The Growth of Interorganizational Collaboration in the Life Sciences. Forthcoming: American Journal of Sociology Download: SFI-WP2003d.pdf See link to movies at Barabási site
Institute for Research on World-Systems Repository of papers home
Time-mapping Globalization in the World-System
Early Modern Data Bank: Medieval & Premodern Markets and Trade. Peter Spufford (Emeritus, History. University of Cambridge).
The Cairo Geniza texts: "The Genizah Collection is a window on the medieval world of the Mediterranean area. Its 140,000 manuscripts fragments, mainly in Hebrew and Arabic, shed light on the mundane as well as the religious and cultural activities of that world. This site provides current information on the activities of the Taylor-Schechter Genizah Research Unit."
Topics in Economic and Social History of Later Medieval Europe, 1260 - 1600 http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/munro5/MEDBANK2.htm
Medieval Economic History http://www.oxbowbooks.com/browse.cfm?&CatID=287&Location=DBBC&CFID=2283021&CFTOKEN=27602291
Zipf's Law for Cities: An Explanation Xavier Gabaix, Parameswaran Gopikrishnan, Vasiliki Plerou, H. Eugene Stanley Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114 (3), August 1999, pp.739-67. Xavier Gabaix he is looking exclusively at national city size distributions. these are subnetworks within a larger world-wide network of cities. the distribution is much flatter (multicentric) if you look at the whole thing, though it only became so recently (since 1950) when the third world megacities caught up with new york. it seems that there is an upper limit, ceiling effect, on the size of the largest cities, that is now about 20 or 25 million. of course this all depends on how you spatially bound cities and city-regions. roland fletcher _the limits of settlement growth_ (1995) has some interesting thoughts on this. chriscd
Past and Present A journal of historical studies
Journal of World Systems Research
Jonathan Friedman ehess seminar etc
Caravanserais 1000 year database on the caravan routes and sites, UNESCO, Pierre LeBigre (Paris)
Search: Old World Trade Routes (100+ sites)
Dr T. Matthew Ciolek, Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia firstname.lastname@example.org Old World Trade Routes (OWTRAD): A List of Printed Maps Showing the Course of Various Routes and Roads
Metropolitan Museum of Art: Timeline of Art History Glimpses of the Silk Road : Central Asian in the First Millennium
Old World Trade Routes the Virtual Maritime Museum
Rummel's website on conflict and democracy
Rice U. Hist 424 Patricia Seed History of Navigation and Cartography
Regents Prep: Global History: Economic Systems Global Trade
Search: ancient world mapping
UNC : Ancient World Mapping Center
UNC :Interactive Ancient Mediterranean
McNeill, William H. 1977. Plagues and Peoples. Garden City, New York: Doubleday. Medieval and Early Modern Data Bank [ http://www.nisc.com/factsheets/memd.htm].
Nefedov, S. 1999. The method of demographic cycles in a study of socioeconomic history of preindustrial society. PhD dissertation, Ekaterinburg University (in Russian), Ekaterinburg, Russia. http://www.eh.net/abstracts/archive/0382.php
Puga, D., 'The rise and fall of regional inequalities'. European Economic Review 43(2), February 1999: 303-334. http://dpuga.economics.utoronto.ca/
Puga, D., and G. Duranton. 'Nursery Cities: Urban diversity, process innovation, and the life cycle of prod-ucts', American Economic Review 91(5), December 2001: 1454-1477. http://dpuga.economics.utoronto.ca/
Redman, C. L. and A. P. Kinzig. 2003. Resilience of past landscapes: resilience theory, society, and the longue durée. Conservation Ecology 7(1): 14. online URL:http://www.consecol.org/vol7/iss1/art14
Rummel, R. J. 2002. url: http://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/LINKS.HTM#freedom - Link to Cross-National Data/Statistics
Saari, D. G. 2001. Decisions and Elections : Explaining the Unexpected. Cambridge:Cambridge Univer-sity Press. It is not uncommon to be frustrated by a decision -- whether in elections, law, economics, engineering, management, and so forth. Is this due to bad data, bad colleagues, or is there something deeper? Kenneth Arrow's famed theorem suggests it is a problem we have to accept; his theorem has been interpreted as stating that "No decision procedure is fair." This seminal result has formed a barrier in searching for positive conclusions. In this book, this obsticale is removed; as shown, Arrow's Theorem has a radically different and benign interpretation. As shown, the new explanation for Arrow's result holds for a surprisingly large number of other situations from several ar-eas. Also, by knowing why Arrow's Theorem arises, positive results can be derived.
_____. 2003. Geometry of Chaotic and Stable Discussions. Amer. Math. Monthly, (May 2004) and MBS 03-12. http://hypatia.ss.uci.edu/imbs/tr/Saaricore2.pdf
Saari, D. G., and Katri K. Sieberg. 2000. Some Surprising Properties of Power Indices. MBS 00-18. http://hypatia.ss.uci.edu/imbs/tr/abs/2000/mbs00_18.html and Games and Economic Behavior (2001), 241-263.
____. 2000. The Sum of the Parts Can Violate the Whole. MBS 00-27 http://hypatia.ss.uci.edu/imbs/tr/abs/2000/mbs00_27.html and APSR 95 (2001), 415-433.
Sharma, Sandeshika. 2003. Collective Action, Network Externalities and Free-Riding: An Evolutionary Model. 2nd Annual Hawaii International Conference on Social Sciences. http://www.hicsocial.org/Social2003Proceedings/Sandeshika%20Sharma.pdf
Turchin, P. 2004. Response to Nature 427:488-489 review by Joseph A. Tainter of Historical Dynamics http://www.eeb.uconn.edu/faculty/turchin/Tainter%20resp.htm
White, D. R. 1969. Cooperation and Decision Making among North American Indians. Ann Arbor, MI: Dis-sertation Reprints.
_____. 2002 (Edited), Special Issue: Networks and Complexity, Complexity 8(1). http://www.santafe.edu/~chaos/
_____. 2004. Network Analysis, Social Dynamics and Feedback in Social Systems." Cybernetics and Systems 35(2), Special issue guest edited by Dwight Read. http://taylorandfrancis.metapress.com/app/home/journal.asp?wasp=9b6aqvwulj4wm5rhwbq6&referrer=parent&backto=browsepublicationsresults,223,996;
White, D. R., and F. Harary. 2001. The Cohesiveness of Blocks in Social Networks: Node Con-nectivity and Conditional Density. Sociological Methodology 2001, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 305-359. Blackwell Publishers, Inc., Boston, USA and Oxford, UK. http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/abstract.asp?ref=0081-1750&vid=31&iid=1&aid=98&s=&site=1
White, D. R., and M. Houseman. 2002. The Navigability of Strong Ties: Small Worlds, Tie Strength and Network Topology, Complexity 8(1):72-81. url: http://eclectic.ss.uci.edu/~drwhite/Complexity/
White, D. R., and U. C. Johansen. 2004. Network Analysis and Ethnographic Problems: Process Models of a Turkish Nomad Clan. In Press. Boston: Lexington Press. http://www.lexingtonbooks.com http://www.lexingtonbooks.com
White, H. C. 2002. How Businesses Mobilize Production Through Markets: Parametric Modeling of Path-dependent Outcomes in Network Flows. Complexity 8(1):87-95. url: http://eclectic.ss.uci.edu/~drwhite/Complexity/
Wilson, M.F. and Henderson-Sellers, A. 1992. A global archive of land cover and soils data for use in general circulation climate models. Digital Raster Data on a 1-degree Cartesian Orthonormal Geodetic (lat/long) 180x360 grid. In: Global Ecosystems Database Version 2.0. Boulder, CO: NOAA National Geophysical Data Center. Five independent single-attribute spatial layers. 347,531 bytes in 13 files. [first published in 1985] http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/eco/cdroms/gedii_a/datasets/a10/wh.htm#dsd